Modelling Infectious Diseases Using Markov Chain

  • Kehinde Adigun Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
  • Ayan Adeleke Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
  • Oluwasesan Adewusi Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
  • Oluwafunmilola Olubiyi fDepartment of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
  • Omobolaji Halid Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
  • Bayowa Babalola Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, P.M.B. 5363
Keywords: Infectious Diseases, Markov Chain

Abstract

This study is one of the few that has dwell on the application of Markov Chain in modeling infectious diseases in Nigeria. The study takes a look at the environmental factors that leads to the spread of infectious diseases.  This research estimates the transition pattern of the diseases, Testing the Markovian property, and how stationary the process is over the study period, the study concluded that the past history of infectious diseases will affect the future through the present state and recommended that government still need to do more in the area of sensitization and fight against infectious diseases.

References

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Published
2019-12-01
Section
Articles