Forecasting the Global Market Behavior of Pistachio
Keywords:
Market structure, Concentration Index, Pistachio.Abstract
Expanding the exports of agricultural products is an important current issue in Iran. There is a high potential in the production of pistachios as one of the main agricultural products with high foreign demand. The availability of salty water and lands in many areas of Iran has made a comparative advantage in producing this product. Iran is the biggest producer of pistachios comparing to the other countries and this is the third product (after oil and carpet) that yields the highest export income for Iran. However, the United States and Turkey have decreased the share of Iran in the trade market of pistachios from 77% in 1980 to 50% in 2016. Yet, the world trade market was getting affected from Iran's market. In this study, we are investigating the structure of the pistachio’s world market and forecasting it until the year 2020.
References
[2] O. Karami, I. Saleh, H. Rafiee, and N.M. Hosseinpour. (2016). “Estimating Recreational Value of Nazhvan Park Using Contingent Valuation Method.” Environmental Research, 7(13), pp. 85-92.
[3] http://www.fao.org/faostat Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). [Dec 11, 2017].
[4] R. Sedaghat. (2010). “Export Growth and Export Competitiveness of Iran’s Pistachio.” Agricultural Tropical ET Subtropica, 43(2).
[5] R. Sedaghat. (2011). “Constraints in Production and Marketing of Iran’s Pistachio and the Policies Concerned: An Application of the Garret Ranking Technique.” International Journal of Nuts and Related Sciences, 2(1), pp. 27-30.
[6] O. Karami and M. Mahmoudi. (2013). “Estimating Trade-Related Adjustment Costs in the Agricultural Sector in Iran.” Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2(1).
[7] A. Zaree. (2007). “Assessing Global Market Structure and Exporting Market of Iranian Peanuts.” Pazhohesh Va Sazandegi, 78.
[8] P.L. Paarlberg and M.M. Haley. (2001). “Market concentration and vertical coordination in the pork industry: Implications for public policy analysis.” Agribusiness, 17(2), pp. 197-212.
[9] http://www.irica.gov.ir/ Customs Administration (IRICA), The Islamic Republic of Iran. [Dec 11, 2017].
[10] F.F.R. Ramos. (1995). “Forecasting market shares using VAR and BVAR models: A comparison of their forecasting performance.” Working Paper, University of Porto, Portugal.
[11] K. Assaleh, H. El-Baz, and S. Al-Salkhadi. (2011). “Predicting Stock Prices Using Polynomial Classifiers: The Case of Dubai Financial Market.” Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Applications, 3(2), pp. 82-9.
[12] M. Tahamipour and M. Mahmoudi. (2018). “The Role of Agricultural Sector Productivity in Economic Growth: The Case of Iran's Economic Development Plan.” Research in Applied Economics, 10(1).
[13] M. Pingle and M. Mahmoudi. (2016). “Economic Growth and Government Size.” Available: http://controller.nv.gov/FinancialReports/SupportingDocumentation/Economic%20Growth%20and%20Government%20Size.pdf. [Dec 11, 2017].
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who submit papers with this journal agree to the following terms.