A Smart Traffic Noise Prediction Model for Nairobi City, Kenya
Keywords:
Road Traffic Noise, Machine Learning, Smart prediction modelAbstract
Road traffic flow produces an undesirable externality since it distorts the ambient environmental noise, especially in cities. Such nuisance noise poses a risk to the health of the inhabitants. Globally, the combined concert of the forces of urbanization and road transport motorization has intensified the noise pollution challenge; yet, locally adapted predictive tools remain limited. In Nairobi, the capital city of Kenya, Road Traffic Noise (RTN) remains a less understood environmental nuisance. To date, no predictive RTN models have been developed, while established models such as CoRTN and RLS-90 lack applicability to Nairobi’s traffic and environmental conditions. This study aimed to develop an accurate smart model leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) to forecast RTN levels using traffic information data [22]. Traffic data, including audio recordings using a Samsung Galaxy A12 Model SM-A127F/DS Android Smartphone, equivalent noise levels (Leq) using a Lutron SL-4033SD Class 1 Sound Level Meter (SLM), vehicular volume using a manual tally form, and speed using a speed gun, was collected across 42 locations within Nairobi. Using this data, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) model, was developed with two hidden layers. Hyperparameter tuning via grid search was done to optimize model performance. The model achieved a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.97 dBA and an R2 value of 0.90, outperforming traditional statistical models like CoRTN with an MAE of 5.0 dBA and RLS-90 with an MAE of 11.0 dBA. These results highlight the model’s high accuracy in predicting Nairobi’s RTN. The model’s deployment on a web-based dashboard enables real-time noise monitoring and stakeholder engagement. This pioneering smart predictive model for Nairobi offers a scalable solution for urban noise management [25], with potential applications in traffic planning and policy implementation.
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